Category Archives: Health managment

How to manage pandemic planning

Salisbury NHS; the most famous, and probably the safest, A & E entrance in the world – if you have Novichok poisoning. Being prepared costs commitment and cash.

When it comes to flu pandemics, fortunately we can and do have the factories in place and producing vaccines.  When a new strain comes along, it is possible to take an existing vaccine and tag on one or more proteins to try to mimic the new strain and get out immune systems responding.

Watch out.  Whether it be a disease of cattle, bees, humans or whatever species, it has to start somewhere and it might be your stock, family or you. Hold your nerve. Watch for and observe symptoms.  Consult the web. Ask your vet ot doctor for advice.

Speak out against denial. Many, including politicians, will prefer to think it will never happen. Write to your MP and stress that the health services need funding to make preparations.

Plan with your local hospital or veterinary surgery. Ask what you can do to help prepare in your neighbourhood.

Plan how you can steer clear of others if and when. Plan how you can do your bit to keep society and the economy working but protect yourself.

Bill Butterworth, Land Network Ltd.  7th July 18

The next pandemic and when it will happen

Foot and Mouth Disease of cattle, new global diseases of bees; these are pandemics.  Pandemics in the global human population are part of our history and future;

Date                 Place                       Pandemic Pathogen                             Deaths

BC430                   Athens             Typhus or Smallpox?                          75,000 to 100,000


541 to 542 Europe & Asia             Bubonic Plague                                  25 to 50 million

1347 to 1351 Europe/Asia/Africa  Black Death Bubonic Plague          75 to 200 million

1545 to 1576         Mexico            Smallpox                                               17 million

1665 to 1656         Europe             Bubonic Plague of London               100,000

1817 to 1824         Asia Europe    Cholera                                                100,000

1918 to 1920         World              Spanish flu                                          20 to 50 million

1980 to date          World              HIV                                                     35 million

2013 to 2016         West Africa     Ebola                                                   11,000 plus

Diseases like Ebola are truly awful but are transmitted in body fluids, touch of bodies or contaminated materials.  So, with very careful, detailed isolation these diseases are comparatively easy to contain.  Airborne disease, such as flu viruses, can be transmitted very quickly in high population densities where transfer to others, and mutation to more, or less, virulent strains are more likely to occur.  Cross infection is easier too, particularly in public transport places such as busses and underground railways.  Avian and swine flus, fortunately for us, mutated the right way and became less fatal.  Mutation to be more fatal will, sooner or later, happen. It is difficult to be precise about when the next one will occur but any time now would not be misleading. This year: possible.  Within 5 years; very likely

How to prepare to combat the next pandemic, see the next blog in this series.

Bill Butterworth, Land Research Ltd   5th July 18


Fewer nurses and police. More taxes

Will there be a better tomorrow?Only if we can very urgently cut out a big slice of un-productive costs.

Some years ago, I was working for TACIS (the technology transfer arm of the EU) in Tajikistan. The economy had collapsed and my team’s job was to assist in reviving it.  I remember some of the characteristics of that failed economy and draw some ominous comparisons with the UK now. We have increasing crime but have police stations closing on a wide scale.  We have a growing population but not enough nurses and are closing wards in hospitals. We have poor productivity and yet we have a growing civil service.   Yet we pay more taxes, or some of us do.  There was a warning recently from one of the think tanks that the national debt would reach £3 trillion.  That will be around £100 million pa interest, maybe more. I remember the historian, Jane Marshal, observing;

“It is in the history of the world that whenever an empire collapses and for whatever reason, those left in government in the centre pass more and more regulations (or whatever they call them at the time) in the belief that they can stop the decline.  What always happens is that they stifle innovation and inhibit entrepreneurial activity and accelerate the rate of decline.  That is what is happening here (the UK) and now.”

We really do need to urgently axe some layers of government, otherwise the whole lot will go.

Bill Butterworth, Land Research Ltd 13 June 18


Peace in our time – farming for others


Can deliver this to others

Farming and the Health Budget.2. Recuperation

Recuperation in the community clearly reduces the pressure on hospitals and GP’s.   organising close links and understanding between the health services and farms has some clear advantages in terms of relaxation, fresh air, exercise, good food and mental repair and re-building hope.  However, it only works if the farm used is a production operation because the hope of harvest, the hard work of others, the peace in that hard work, is what allows peace to the visitor.

What better place to learn about diet and health education than on a farm.

Bill Butterworth, Land Research Ltd. 27 Feb 18


Farming, the NHS and Exercise

Farming and the Health Budget.No 1 of 9 daily posts; Exercise



How about government joining the farm and health budgets and offering cash for a joint program between a hospital, local GP’s and local farmers to run jointly-designed exercise programs to;

  • Promote health generally. (so as to reduce health costs later.)
  • Prepare for operations. (e.g. lose weight).
  • Recuperate after treatment.
  • Prevent recurrence.

Bill Butterworth, Land Research Ltd. 26 February 18


Fatberg at British Museum


The soil mycorrhiza are dramatically assisted by the addition of biosolids, thus reducing crop disease and crop spying.

The Guardian newspaper reported recently that the British museum is exhibiting part of a sewer-blocking fatberg that made headlines last year, weighing 130 tonnes, the equivalent of 11 double decker buses and stretching more than 250 meters, six meters longer than Tower Bridge. Said Vyki Sparkes, the curator of social and working history, “I don’t think you can get much lower than a fatberg … it reflects the dark side of ourselves”.

Fortunately, most of our sewage goes through very efficient sewage treatment works (STW’s) before the water is recycled to rivers and the sea.  The STW extracts the organic material and some of that is recycled to land to grow crops (“biosolids” are really good fertilisers which add trace elements and improve the biology and disease resistance of the soil, thus reducing crop disease). The real bogey is the solid plastic which goes to landfill. Yet again, it is hard plastic which is causing intractable environmental problems.

Bill Butterworth, Land Research Ltd, February 2018

Soil trace elements and human health

We have the power and the technology. Do we have the micro components?

Common sense tells us that if we use manufactured mineral fertilisers to produce food, eventually, the soil store of trace elements will decline, followed by a decline in the harvested crop, followed by a decline in the health of th4e crop, followed by a decline in the intake of trace elements by humans, followed by a decline in the health of humans.

This common sense understanding of the loss of micro-nutrients in human diets has been shown many times and, again, recently by a paper on soil Selenium decline by Steve McGrath et al and reported in the current edition of The Auger, journal of the British Society of Soil Science.

What do we do about it?  See with government employing the BSSS nationally to monitor and guide on not too much and not too little.


Bill Butterworth, Land Research Ltd