Population, energy and pandemics


  • There will be a pandemic of global proportions.
  • An aging population raises important fiscal and heath issues.
  • Energy and health management are key issues.
  • Stop. Think. Do it now.

By Bill Butterworth

4 March 15




Population curves snip 2

The population curves above are firstly (the top one) what has happened before and (below it) what will happen unless we act decisively, effectively and quickly.   These curves are extracted from my last book Reversing global warming for profit published by MX publishing.

The first curve is a historical record of the effect of the plague, “The Black Death”, in Europe during the period between around 750 AD and 1550. The population halved, three times.   There is every reason to expect it will happen again and no reason to think it will not. Most population studies come to the conclusion that we are currently going up the steep part of the curve and that it will begin to level off and then collapse because of a pandemic. Although the fear of Ebola was justified, that disease would not cause the collapse – in developed countries we can isolate diseases which transmit by close contact. The pandemic, when it comes, is likely to be air bourn and be not just one disease but several.  Flu viruses are quite likely to be the culprit unless current research on a vaccine which will cover all mutations produces results before we need it. The more people we have, the more likely is transmission, mutation and the pandemic.

This, it seems to me, is much more fundamental than the political talk about building houses but it does concern immigration and the funding of the health service. In that people consume energy, and energy production is related to global warming, again, population control is an issue. If, and this is unlikely, the human race gets around to taking population control as a serious global issue, then we will have an even more rapidly aging population. Again, this raises significant fiscal and health issues.

In the next 30 years, we may not get 50 unless we get our act together, population, energy security and health management will be critical issues.